Every quarter-finalists’ chances of winning calculated

The 2022 World Cup has reached the quarter-final stage.

The Netherlands became the first team to book their place in the last eight. They will face Argentina, who scraped past Australia.

England will face France in what is arguably the tie of the round. The game promises to be a cracker with both sides impressive in Qatar thus far.

Brazil have been arguably the most convincing team in the competition and demolished South Korea to make the quarter-finals. They will face Croatia in the next round.

While the last quarter-final will be another fascinating encounter.

Image linking to GiveMeSport's World Cup hub
GiveMeSport’s World Cup hub image

It sees Morocco, who shocked Spain in the last 16, face Portugal, who progressed to the quarter-finals after smashing six past Switzerland.

Morocco will go into the game as underdogs and will be looking to pull off another seismic shock.

But who will win the competition? Data analysts FiveThirtyEight have calculated every quarter-finalists’ chances of winning it all in Qatar. View their findings below…

Every quarter-finalists’ chances of winning the World Cup

8. Morocco – 3%

7. Croatia – 4%

6. Netherlands – 7%

5. France – 12%

4. Argentina – 13%

3. England – 14%

2. Portugal – 14%

1. Brazil – 33%

Brazil are the overwhelming favourites to win their sixth World Cup title, according to the data.

Tite’s side have looked impressive all tournament and, with their star player Neymar now back to full fitness, will take some stopping.

Portugal are looking to win their first ever World Cup title and are second favourites to do it.

While England are third favourites to win emerge victorious in Qatar. The Three Lions were in a dismal run of form going into the tournament but appear to have put those struggles behind them.

Harry Kane and Gareth Southgate shake hands
MILAN, ITALY – SEPTEMBER 23: Harry Kane of England shakes hands with Gareth Southgate, Manager of England after the final whistle of during the UEFA Nations League League A Group 3 match between Italy and England at San Siro on September 23, 2022 in Milan, Italy. (Photo by Marco Luzzani/Getty Images)

They are more likely to win the tournament than Argentina and defending champions, France.

Should England defeat France in the last eight, they will fancy their chances of going all the way.

Netherlands, Croatia and Morocco have all done well to this stage of the competition but their chances of winning it all are low. You can’t rule them out completely, though.

With each team just three wins away from glory, the climax to the World Cup is set to be fascinating.

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